{"id":27920,"date":"2025-05-16T09:00:05","date_gmt":"2025-05-16T09:00:05","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/medexperts.pro\/?p=27920"},"modified":"2025-05-16T09:24:23","modified_gmt":"2025-05-16T09:24:23","slug":"silicon-valleys-elusive-fantasy-of-a-computer-as-smart-as-you","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/medexperts.pro\/?p=27920","title":{"rendered":"Silicon Valley\u2019s Elusive Fantasy of a Computer as Smart as You"},"content":{"rendered":"<div><\/div>\n<div class=\"css-s99gbd StoryBodyCompanionColumn\" data-testid=\"companionColumn-0\">\n<div class=\"css-53u6y8\">\n<p class=\"css-at9mc1 evys1bk0\">Sam Altman, the chief executive of OpenAI, recently <a class=\"css-yywogo\" href=\"https:\/\/www.nytimes.com\/2025\/02\/08\/technology\/sam-altman-elon-musk-trump.html\" title>told President Trump<\/a> during a private phone call that it would arrive before the end of his administration. Dario Amodei, the chief executive of Anthropic, OpenAI\u2019s primary rival, repeatedly <a class=\"css-yywogo\" href=\"https:\/\/www.youtube.com\/watch?v=Xywqm0vlUxk\" title rel=\"noopener noreferrer\" target=\"_blank\">told podcasters<\/a> it could happen even sooner. The tech billionaire Elon Musk <a class=\"css-yywogo\" href=\"https:\/\/www.forbes.com\/sites\/ericsiegel\/2024\/04\/10\/artificial-general-intelligence-is-pure-hype\/\" title rel=\"noopener noreferrer\" target=\"_blank\">has said it could be here<\/a> before the end of the year.<\/p>\n<p class=\"css-at9mc1 evys1bk0\">Like many other voices across Silicon Valley and beyond, these executives predict that the arrival of artificial general intelligence, or A.G.I., is imminent.<\/p>\n<p class=\"css-at9mc1 evys1bk0\">Since the early 2000s, when a group of fringe researchers <a class=\"css-yywogo\" href=\"https:\/\/goertzel.org\/who-coined-the-term-agi\/\" title rel=\"noopener noreferrer\" target=\"_blank\">slapped the term<\/a> on the cover of a book that described the autonomous computer systems they hoped to build one day, A.G.I. has served as shorthand for a future technology that achieves human-level intelligence. There is no settled definition of A.G.I., just an entrancing idea: an artificial intelligence that can match the many powers of the human mind.<\/p>\n<p class=\"css-at9mc1 evys1bk0\">Mr. Altman, Mr. Amodei and Mr. Musk have long chased this goal, as have executives and researchers at companies like <a class=\"css-yywogo\" href=\"https:\/\/www.nytimes.com\/2023\/12\/03\/technology\/ai-openai-musk-page-altman.html\" title>Google<\/a> and <a class=\"css-yywogo\" href=\"https:\/\/www.nytimes.com\/2023\/05\/16\/technology\/microsoft-ai-human-reasoning.html\" title>Microsoft<\/a>. And thanks, in part, to their fervent pursuit of this ambitious idea, they have produced technologies that are changing the way hundreds of millions of people research, make art and program computers. These technologies are now poised to transform entire professions.<\/p>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<div data-testid=\"Dropzone-1\"><\/div>\n<div class=\"css-s99gbd StoryBodyCompanionColumn\" data-testid=\"companionColumn-1\">\n<div class=\"css-53u6y8\">\n<p class=\"css-at9mc1 evys1bk0\">But since <a class=\"css-yywogo\" href=\"https:\/\/www.nytimes.com\/2022\/12\/10\/technology\/ai-chat-bot-chatgpt.html\" title>the arrival of chatbots<\/a> like OpenAI\u2019s ChatGPT, and <a class=\"css-yywogo\" href=\"https:\/\/www.nytimes.com\/interactive\/2025\/03\/26\/business\/ai-smarter-human-intelligence-puzzle.html\" title>the rapid improvement<\/a> of these strange and powerful systems over the last two years, many technologists have grown increasingly bold in predicting how soon A.G.I. will arrive. Some are even saying that once they deliver A.G.I., a more powerful creation called \u201c<a class=\"css-yywogo\" href=\"https:\/\/ia.samaltman.com\/\" title rel=\"noopener noreferrer\" target=\"_blank\">superintelligence<\/a>\u201d will follow.<\/p>\n<p class=\"css-at9mc1 evys1bk0\">As these eternally confident voices predict the near future, their speculations are getting ahead of reality. And though their companies are pushing the technology forward at a remarkable rate, an army of more sober voices are quick to dispel any claim that machines will soon match human intellect.<\/p>\n<div class=\"css-kbghgg\">\n<div class=\"css-121kum4\">\n<div class=\"css-171quhb\"><\/div>\n<div class=\"css-asuuk5\">\n<div class=\"css-7axq9l\" data-testid=\"optimistic-truncator-noscript\">\n<div data-testid=\"optimistic-truncator-noscript-message\" class=\"css-6yo1no\">\n<p class=\"css-3kpklk\">We are having trouble retrieving the article content.<\/p>\n<p class=\"css-3kpklk\">Please enable JavaScript in your browser settings.<\/p>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<div class=\"css-1dv1kvn\" id=\"optimistic-truncator-a11y\">\n<hr \/>\n<p>Thank you for your patience while we verify access. If you are in Reader mode please exit and\u00a0<a href=\"https:\/\/myaccount.nytimes.com\/auth\/login?response_type=cookie&amp;client_id=vi&amp;redirect_uri=https%3A%2F%2Fwww.nytimes.com%2F2025%2F05%2F16%2Ftechnology%2Fwhat-is-agi.html&amp;asset=opttrunc\">log into<\/a>\u00a0your Times account, or\u00a0<a href=\"https:\/\/www.nytimes.com\/subscription?campaignId=89WYR&amp;redirect_uri=https%3A%2F%2Fwww.nytimes.com%2F2025%2F05%2F16%2Ftechnology%2Fwhat-is-agi.html\">subscribe<\/a>\u00a0for all of The Times.<\/p>\n<hr \/>\n<\/div>\n<div class=\"css-1g71tqy\">\n<div data-testid=\"optimistic-truncator-message\" class=\"css-6yo1no\">\n<p class=\"css-3kpklk\">Thank you for your patience while we verify access.<\/p>\n<p class=\"css-3kpklk\">Already a subscriber?\u00a0<a data-testid=\"log-in-link\" class=\"css-z5ryv4\" href=\"https:\/\/myaccount.nytimes.com\/auth\/login?response_type=cookie&amp;client_id=vi&amp;redirect_uri=https%3A%2F%2Fwww.nytimes.com%2F2025%2F05%2F16%2Ftechnology%2Fwhat-is-agi.html&amp;asset=opttrunc\">Log in<\/a>.<\/p>\n<p class=\"css-3kpklk\">Want all of The Times?\u00a0<a data-testid=\"subscribe-link\" class=\"css-z5ryv4\" href=\"https:\/\/www.nytimes.com\/subscription?campaignId=89WYR&amp;redirect_uri=https%3A%2F%2Fwww.nytimes.com%2F2025%2F05%2F16%2Ftechnology%2Fwhat-is-agi.html\">Subscribe<\/a>.<\/p>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Sam Altman, the chief executive of OpenAI, recently told President Trump during a private phone call that it would arrive before the end of his administration. Dario Amodei, the chief executive of Anthropic, OpenAI\u2019s primary rival, repeatedly told podcasters it could happen even sooner. The tech billionaire Elon Musk has said it could be here before the end of the year.Like many other voices across Silicon Valley and beyond, these executives predict that the arrival of artificial general intelligence, or A.G.I., is imminent.Since the early 2000s, when a group of fringe researchers slapped the term on the cover of a book that described the autonomous computer systems they hoped to build one day, A.G.I. has served as shorthand for a future technology that achieves human-level intelligence. There is no settled definition of A.G.I., just an entrancing idea: an artificial intelligence that can match the many powers of the human mind.Mr. Altman, Mr. Amodei and Mr. Musk have long chased this goal, as have executives and researchers at companies like Google and Microsoft. And thanks, in part, to their fervent pursuit of this ambitious idea, they have produced technologies that are changing the way hundreds of millions of people research, make art and program computers. These technologies are now poised to transform entire professions.But since the arrival of chatbots like OpenAI\u2019s ChatGPT, and the rapid improvement of these strange and powerful systems over the last two years, many technologists have grown increasingly bold in predicting how soon A.G.I. will arrive. Some are even saying that once they deliver A.G.I., a more powerful creation called \u201csuperintelligence\u201d will follow.As these eternally confident voices predict the near future, their speculations are getting ahead of reality. And though their companies are pushing the technology forward at a remarkable rate, an army of more sober voices are quick to dispel any claim that machines will soon match human intellect.We are having trouble retrieving the article content.Please enable JavaScript in your browser settings.Thank you for your patience while we verify access. If you are in Reader mode please exit and\u00a0log into\u00a0your Times account, or\u00a0subscribe\u00a0for all of The Times.Thank you for your patience while we verify access.Already a subscriber?\u00a0Log in.Want all of The Times?\u00a0Subscribe.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":27922,"comment_status":"close","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[6],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-27920","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-technology"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/medexperts.pro\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/27920","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/medexperts.pro\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/medexperts.pro\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/medexperts.pro\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/medexperts.pro\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcomments&post=27920"}],"version-history":[{"count":2,"href":"https:\/\/medexperts.pro\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/27920\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":27923,"href":"https:\/\/medexperts.pro\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/27920\/revisions\/27923"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/medexperts.pro\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/media\/27922"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/medexperts.pro\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fmedia&parent=27920"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/medexperts.pro\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcategories&post=27920"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/medexperts.pro\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Ftags&post=27920"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}