{"id":17685,"date":"2024-12-04T15:00:04","date_gmt":"2024-12-04T16:00:04","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/medexperts.pro\/?p=17685"},"modified":"2024-12-04T16:26:53","modified_gmt":"2024-12-04T16:26:53","slug":"google-introduces-a-i-agent-that-aces-15-day-weather-forecasts","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/medexperts.pro\/?p=17685","title":{"rendered":"Google Introduces A.I. Agent That Aces 15-Day Weather Forecasts"},"content":{"rendered":"<div><\/div>\n<p id=\"article-summary\" class=\"css-79rysd e1wiw3jv0\">GenCast, from the company\u2019s DeepMind division, outperformed the world\u2019s best predictions of deadly storms as well as everyday weather.<\/p>\n<section class=\"meteredContent css-1r7ky0e\">\n<div class=\"css-s99gbd StoryBodyCompanionColumn\" data-testid=\"companionColumn-0\">\n<div class=\"css-53u6y8\">\n<p class=\"css-at9mc1 evys1bk0\">In the 1960s, weather scientists found that the chaotic nature of Earth\u2019s atmosphere would put a limit on how far into the future their forecasts might peer. <a class=\"css-yywogo\" href=\"https:\/\/www.psu.edu\/news\/research\/story\/predictability-limit-scientists-find-bounds-weather-forecasting\" title rel=\"noopener noreferrer\" target=\"_blank\">Two weeks seemed to be the limit<\/a>. Still, by the early 2000s, the great difficulty of the undertaking kept reliable forecasts <a class=\"css-yywogo\" href=\"https:\/\/ourworldindata.org\/weather-forecasts\" title rel=\"noopener noreferrer\" target=\"_blank\">restricted to about a week<\/a>.<\/p>\n<p class=\"css-at9mc1 evys1bk0\">Now, a new artificial intelligence tool from DeepMind, a Google company in London that develops A.I. applications, has smashed through the old barriers and achieved what its makers call unmatched skill and speed in devising 15-day weather forecasts. They <a class=\"css-yywogo\" href=\"https:\/\/www.nature.com\/articles\/s41586-024-08252-9\" title rel=\"noopener noreferrer\" target=\"_blank\">report<\/a> in the journal Nature on Wednesday that their new model can, among other things, outperform the world\u2019s best forecasts meant to track deadly storms and save lives.<\/p>\n<p class=\"css-at9mc1 evys1bk0\">\u201cIt\u2019s a big deal,\u201d said <a class=\"css-yywogo\" href=\"https:\/\/emanuel.mit.edu\/\" title rel=\"noopener noreferrer\" target=\"_blank\">Kerry Emanuel<\/a>, a professor emeritus of atmospheric science at the Massachusetts Institute of Technology who was not involved in the DeepMind research. \u201cIt\u2019s an important step forward.\u201d<\/p>\n<p class=\"css-at9mc1 evys1bk0\">In 2019, Dr. Emanuel and six other experts, <a class=\"css-yywogo\" href=\"https:\/\/journals.ametsoc.org\/view\/journals\/atsc\/76\/4\/jas-d-18-0269.1.xml\" title rel=\"noopener noreferrer\" target=\"_blank\">writing in the Journal of the Atmospheric Sciences<\/a>, argued that advancing the development of reliable forecasts to a length of 15 days from 10 days would have \u201cenormous socioeconomic benefits\u201d by helping the public avoid the worst effects of extreme weather.<\/p>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<div data-testid=\"Dropzone-1\"><\/div>\n<div class=\"css-s99gbd StoryBodyCompanionColumn\" data-testid=\"companionColumn-1\">\n<div class=\"css-53u6y8\">\n<p class=\"css-at9mc1 evys1bk0\"><a class=\"css-yywogo\" href=\"https:\/\/www.linkedin.com\/in\/ilan-price-a8428747\/?originalSubdomain=uk\" title rel=\"noopener noreferrer\" target=\"_blank\">Ilan Price<\/a>, the new paper\u2019s lead author and a senior research scientist at DeepMind, described the new A.I. agent, which the team calls GenCast, as much faster than traditional methods. \u201cAnd it\u2019s more accurate,\u201d he added.<\/p>\n<p class=\"css-at9mc1 evys1bk0\">He and his colleagues found that GenCast ran circles around DeepMind\u2019s <a class=\"css-yywogo\" href=\"https:\/\/www.nytimes.com\/interactive\/2024\/07\/29\/science\/ai-weather-forecast-hurricane.html\" title>previous A.I. weather program<\/a>, which <a class=\"css-yywogo\" href=\"https:\/\/deepmind.google\/discover\/blog\/graphcast-ai-model-for-faster-and-more-accurate-global-weather-forecasting\/\" title rel=\"noopener noreferrer\" target=\"_blank\">debuted in late 2023<\/a> with reliable 10-day forecasts. <a class=\"css-yywogo\" href=\"https:\/\/www.linkedin.com\/in\/remi-lam\/\" title rel=\"noopener noreferrer\" target=\"_blank\">R\u00e9mi Lam<\/a>, the lead scientist on that project and one of a dozen co-authors on the new paper, described the company\u2019s weather team as having made surprisingly fast progress.<\/p>\n<div class=\"css-1336jj\">\n<div class=\"css-121kum4\">\n<div class=\"css-171d1bw\"><\/div>\n<div class=\"css-asuuk5\">\n<div class=\"css-7axq9l\" data-testid=\"optimistic-truncator-noscript\">\n<div data-testid=\"optimistic-truncator-noscript-message\" class=\"css-6yo1no\">\n<p class=\"css-3kpklk\">We are having trouble retrieving the article content.<\/p>\n<p class=\"css-3kpklk\">Please enable JavaScript in your browser settings.<\/p>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<div class=\"css-1dv1kvn\" id=\"optimistic-truncator-a11y\">\n<hr \/>\n<p>Thank you for your patience while we verify access. If you are in Reader mode please exit and\u00a0<a href=\"https:\/\/myaccount.nytimes.com\/auth\/login?response_type=cookie&amp;client_id=vi&amp;redirect_uri=https%3A%2F%2Fwww.nytimes.com%2F2024%2F12%2F04%2Fscience%2Fgoogle-ai-weather-forecast.html&amp;asset=opttrunc\">log into<\/a>\u00a0your Times account, or\u00a0<a href=\"https:\/\/www.nytimes.com\/subscription?campaignId=89WYR&amp;redirect_uri=https%3A%2F%2Fwww.nytimes.com%2F2024%2F12%2F04%2Fscience%2Fgoogle-ai-weather-forecast.html\">subscribe<\/a>\u00a0for all of The Times.<\/p>\n<hr \/>\n<\/div>\n<div class=\"css-1g71tqy\">\n<div data-testid=\"optimistic-truncator-message\" class=\"css-6yo1no\">\n<p class=\"css-3kpklk\">Thank you for your patience while we verify access.<\/p>\n<p class=\"css-3kpklk\">Already a subscriber?\u00a0<a data-testid=\"log-in-link\" class=\"css-z5ryv4\" href=\"https:\/\/myaccount.nytimes.com\/auth\/login?response_type=cookie&amp;client_id=vi&amp;redirect_uri=https%3A%2F%2Fwww.nytimes.com%2F2024%2F12%2F04%2Fscience%2Fgoogle-ai-weather-forecast.html&amp;asset=opttrunc\">Log in<\/a>.<\/p>\n<p class=\"css-3kpklk\">Want all of The Times?\u00a0<a data-testid=\"subscribe-link\" class=\"css-z5ryv4\" href=\"https:\/\/www.nytimes.com\/subscription?campaignId=89WYR&amp;redirect_uri=https%3A%2F%2Fwww.nytimes.com%2F2024%2F12%2F04%2Fscience%2Fgoogle-ai-weather-forecast.html\">Subscribe<\/a>.<\/p>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/section>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>GenCast, from the company\u2019s DeepMind division, outperformed the world\u2019s best predictions of deadly storms as well as everyday weather.In the 1960s, weather scientists found that the chaotic nature of Earth\u2019s atmosphere would put a limit on how far into the future their forecasts might peer. Two weeks seemed to be the limit. Still, by the early 2000s, the great difficulty of the undertaking kept reliable forecasts restricted to about a week.Now, a new artificial intelligence tool from DeepMind, a Google company in London that develops A.I. applications, has smashed through the old barriers and achieved what its makers call unmatched skill and speed in devising 15-day weather forecasts. They report in the journal Nature on Wednesday that their new model can, among other things, outperform the world\u2019s best forecasts meant to track deadly storms and save lives.\u201cIt\u2019s a big deal,\u201d said Kerry Emanuel, a professor emeritus of atmospheric science at the Massachusetts Institute of Technology who was not involved in the DeepMind research. \u201cIt\u2019s an important step forward.\u201dIn 2019, Dr. Emanuel and six other experts, writing in the Journal of the Atmospheric Sciences, argued that advancing the development of reliable forecasts to a length of 15 days from 10 days would have \u201cenormous socioeconomic benefits\u201d by helping the public avoid the worst effects of extreme weather.Ilan Price, the new paper\u2019s lead author and a senior research scientist at DeepMind, described the new A.I. agent, which the team calls GenCast, as much faster than traditional methods. \u201cAnd it\u2019s more accurate,\u201d he added.He and his colleagues found that GenCast ran circles around DeepMind\u2019s previous A.I. weather program, which debuted in late 2023 with reliable 10-day forecasts. R\u00e9mi Lam, the lead scientist on that project and one of a dozen co-authors on the new paper, described the company\u2019s weather team as having made surprisingly fast progress.We are having trouble retrieving the article content.Please enable JavaScript in your browser settings.Thank you for your patience while we verify access. If you are in Reader mode please exit and\u00a0log into\u00a0your Times account, or\u00a0subscribe\u00a0for all of The Times.Thank you for your patience while we verify access.Already a subscriber?\u00a0Log in.Want all of The Times?\u00a0Subscribe.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":17687,"comment_status":"close","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[34],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-17685","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-science"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/medexperts.pro\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/17685","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/medexperts.pro\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/medexperts.pro\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/medexperts.pro\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/medexperts.pro\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcomments&post=17685"}],"version-history":[{"count":2,"href":"https:\/\/medexperts.pro\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/17685\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":17688,"href":"https:\/\/medexperts.pro\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/17685\/revisions\/17688"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/medexperts.pro\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/media\/17687"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/medexperts.pro\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fmedia&parent=17685"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/medexperts.pro\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcategories&post=17685"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/medexperts.pro\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Ftags&post=17685"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}