{"id":15804,"date":"2024-11-01T09:00:15","date_gmt":"2024-11-01T10:00:15","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/medexperts.pro\/?p=15804"},"modified":"2024-11-01T10:26:16","modified_gmt":"2024-11-01T10:26:16","slug":"billionaire-game-theory-we-are-not-ready-for-a-g-i-election-betting-markets-get-weird","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/medexperts.pro\/?p=15804","title":{"rendered":"Billionaire Game Theory + We Are Not Ready for A.G.I. + Election Betting Markets Get Weird"},"content":{"rendered":"<div class=\"css-s99gbd StoryBodyCompanionColumn\" data-testid=\"companionColumn-0\">\n<div class=\"css-53u6y8\">\n<hr class=\"css-7ad88g e1mu4ftr0\" \/>\n<h3 class=\"css-1vs5pxi e1gnsphs0\" id=\"link-7681bcfa\"><span><em class=\"css-2fg4z9 e1gzwzxm0\">Listen to and follow \u2018Hard Fork\u2019<\/em><br \/><a class=\"css-yywogo\" href=\"https:\/\/podcasts.apple.com\/us\/podcast\/hard-fork\/id1528594034\" title rel=\"noopener noreferrer\" target=\"_blank\">Apple<\/a> | <a class=\"css-yywogo\" href=\"https:\/\/open.spotify.com\/show\/44fllCS2FTFr2x2kjP9xeT?si=qjkPYGgXR9qT8_BcBTIZ5A\" title rel=\"noopener noreferrer\" target=\"_blank\">Spotify<\/a> | <a class=\"css-yywogo\" href=\"https:\/\/music.amazon.com\/podcasts\/7c7fe198-e6a8-41a8-b0fe-1d46b976dcd8\/hard-fork?ref=dm_sh_rI25zBnsOcFhAUBuIYwkhtVBU\" title rel=\"noopener noreferrer\" target=\"_blank\">Amazon<\/a> | <a class=\"css-yywogo\" href=\"https:\/\/www.youtube.com\/hardfork\" title rel=\"noopener noreferrer\" target=\"_blank\">YouTube<\/a> | <a class=\"css-yywogo\" href=\"https:\/\/www.iheart.com\/podcast\/326-hard-fork-71510947\/\" title rel=\"noopener noreferrer\" target=\"_blank\">iHeartRadio<\/a><\/span><\/h3>\n<div class=\"css-zera2v\">\n<div class=\"css-103l8m3\">\n<div class=\"css-1e2jphy epjyd6m1\">\n<div class=\"css-233int epjyd6m0\">\n<p class=\"css-1xuzukf e1jsehar1\"><a href=\"https:\/\/www.nytimes.com\/by\/kevin-roose\" class=\"css-ojhyzr e1jsehar0\">Kevin Roose<\/a> and <\/p>\n<p class=\"css-1xuzukf e1jsehar1\"><span class=\"css-1baulvz\">Whitney Jones<\/span> and <\/p>\n<p class=\"css-1xuzukf e1jsehar1\">\n<p class=\"css-1xuzukf e1jsehar1\">\n<p class=\"css-1xuzukf e1jsehar1\"><a href=\"https:\/\/www.nytimes.com\/by\/dan-powell\" class=\"css-m3qogn e1jsehar0\">Dan Powell<\/a><a href=\"https:\/\/www.nytimes.com\/by\/marion-lozano\" class=\"css-ojhyzr e1jsehar0\">Marion Lozano<\/a> and <\/p>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<p class=\"css-at9mc1 evys1bk0\">Last week, Jeff Bezos canceled the Washington Post editorial board\u2019s plan to endorse Kamala Harris. Are tech billionaires hedging their bets in case Donald Trump wins? Then, Miles Brundage, a former OpenAI senior adviser on artificial general intelligence readiness, stops by to tell us how his old company is doing when it comes to being ready for superintelligence, and whether we should all keep saving for retirement. And finally, David Yaffe-Bellany, a Times technology reporter, joins us to explore the rise of Polymarket, a crypto-powered betting platform, and discuss whether prediction markets can tell us who is going to win the election.<\/p>\n<p class=\"css-at9mc1 evys1bk0\"><strong class=\"css-8qgvsz ebyp5n10\">Guests:<\/strong><\/p>\n<ul class=\"css-1le37cb ez3869y0\">\n<li class=\"css-1i3ul0c eoqvrfo0\">\n<p class=\"css-1il0jfh evys1bk0\"><a class=\"css-yywogo\" href=\"https:\/\/www.milesbrundage.com\/\" title rel=\"noopener noreferrer\" target=\"_blank\">Miles Brundage<\/a>, former OpenAI senior adviser for A.G.I. readiness.<\/p>\n<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<ul class=\"css-1le37cb ez3869y0\">\n<li class=\"css-1i3ul0c eoqvrfo0\">\n<p class=\"css-1il0jfh evys1bk0\"><a class=\"css-yywogo\" href=\"https:\/\/www.nytimes.com\/by\/david-yaffe-bellany#about\" title>David Yaffe-Bellany<\/a>, technology reporter for The New York Times.<\/p>\n<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<p class=\"css-at9mc1 evys1bk0\"><strong class=\"css-8qgvsz ebyp5n10\">Additional Reading:<\/strong><\/p>\n<ul class=\"css-1le37cb ez3869y0\">\n<li class=\"css-1i3ul0c eoqvrfo0\">\n<p class=\"css-1il0jfh evys1bk0\"><a class=\"css-yywogo\" href=\"https:\/\/www.nytimes.com\/2024\/10\/30\/technology\/jeff-bezos-elon-musk-election.html\" title>Jeff Bezos, Elon Musk and the Billions of Ways to Influence an Election<\/a><\/p>\n<\/li>\n<li class=\"css-1i3ul0c eoqvrfo0\">\n<p class=\"css-1il0jfh evys1bk0\"><a class=\"css-yywogo\" href=\"https:\/\/milesbrundage.substack.com\/p\/why-im-leaving-openai-and-what-im\" title rel=\"noopener noreferrer\" target=\"_blank\">Miles Brundage\u2019s on Why He\u2019s Leaving OpenAI<\/a><\/p>\n<\/li>\n<li class=\"css-1i3ul0c eoqvrfo0\">\n<p class=\"css-1il0jfh evys1bk0\"><a class=\"css-yywogo\" href=\"https:\/\/www.nytimes.com\/2024\/10\/25\/technology\/polymarket-election-betting-crypto-trump.html\" title>The Crypto Website Where the Election Odds Swing in Trump\u2019s Favor<\/a><\/p>\n<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<div data-testid=\"ImageBlock-1\">\n<div data-testid=\"imageblock-wrapper\">\n<figure class=\"img-sz-medium css-mqw7kw e1g7ppur0\" aria-label=\"media\" role=\"group\">\n<div class=\"css-1xdhyk6 erfvjey0\" data-testid=\"photoviewer-children-figure\"><\/div><figcaption data-testid=\"photoviewer-children-caption\" class=\"css-gbc9ki ewdxa0s0\"><span class=\"css-1u46b97 e1z0qqy90\"><span><span aria-hidden=\"false\">Photo Illustration by The New York Times; Photo: Clodagh Kilcoyne\/Reuters<\/span><\/span><\/span><\/figcaption><\/figure>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<div class=\"css-s99gbd StoryBodyCompanionColumn\" data-testid=\"companionColumn-1\">\n<div class=\"css-53u6y8\">\n<hr class=\"css-7ad88g e1mu4ftr0\" \/><\/div>\n<\/div>\n<div data-testid=\"RelatedLinksBlock-3\">\n<div data-testid=\"lazy-loader\"><\/div>\n<\/div>\n<div data-testid=\"Dropzone-4\"><\/div>\n<div class=\"css-s99gbd StoryBodyCompanionColumn\" data-testid=\"companionColumn-2\">\n<div class=\"css-53u6y8\">\n<h3 class=\"css-15h6bi9 e1gnsphs0\" id=\"link-37b93589\"><span><strong class=\"css-8qgvsz ebyp5n10\">Credits<\/strong><\/span><\/h3>\n<p class=\"css-798hid etfikam0\">\u201cHard Fork\u201d is hosted by <!-- -->Kevin Roose<!-- --> and <!-- -->Casey Newton<!-- --> and produced by <!-- -->Davis Land<!-- --> and <!-- -->Rachel Cohn<!-- -->. The show is edited by <!-- -->Jen Poyant<!-- -->. Engineering by <!-- -->Chris Wood<!-- --> and original music by <!-- -->Dan Powell<!-- -->, <!-- -->Marion Lozano<!-- --> and <!-- -->Diane Wong<!-- -->. Fact-checking by Ena Alvarado.<\/p>\n<p class=\"css-798hid etfikam0\">Special thanks to <!-- -->Paula Szuchman<!-- -->, <!-- -->Pui-Wing Tam<!-- -->, Dahlia Haddad and <!-- -->Jeffrey Miranda<!-- -->.<\/p>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Listen to and follow \u2018Hard Fork\u2019Apple | Spotify | Amazon | YouTube | iHeartRadioKevin Roose and Whitney Jones and Dan PowellMarion Lozano and Last week, Jeff Bezos canceled the Washington Post editorial board\u2019s plan to endorse Kamala Harris. Are tech billionaires hedging their bets in case Donald Trump wins? Then, Miles Brundage, a former OpenAI senior adviser on artificial general intelligence readiness, stops by to tell us how his old company is doing when it comes to being ready for superintelligence, and whether we should all keep saving for retirement. And finally, David Yaffe-Bellany, a Times technology reporter, joins us to explore the rise of Polymarket, a crypto-powered betting platform, and discuss whether prediction markets can tell us who is going to win the election.Guests:Miles Brundage, former OpenAI senior adviser for A.G.I. readiness.David Yaffe-Bellany, technology reporter for The New York Times.Additional Reading:Jeff Bezos, Elon Musk and the Billions of Ways to Influence an ElectionMiles Brundage\u2019s on Why He\u2019s Leaving OpenAIThe Crypto Website Where the Election Odds Swing in Trump\u2019s FavorPhoto Illustration by The New York Times; Photo: Clodagh Kilcoyne\/ReutersCredits\u201cHard Fork\u201d is hosted by<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":15806,"comment_status":"close","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[6],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-15804","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-technology"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/medexperts.pro\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/15804","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/medexperts.pro\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/medexperts.pro\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/medexperts.pro\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/medexperts.pro\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcomments&post=15804"}],"version-history":[{"count":2,"href":"https:\/\/medexperts.pro\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/15804\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":15807,"href":"https:\/\/medexperts.pro\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/15804\/revisions\/15807"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/medexperts.pro\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/media\/15806"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/medexperts.pro\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fmedia&parent=15804"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/medexperts.pro\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcategories&post=15804"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/medexperts.pro\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Ftags&post=15804"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}